Average earnings increase despite slowing wage inflation

Growth in average earnings in the December 2020 quarter was strong, despite slowing wage inflation, Stats NZ said today.

QuarterQES ordinary time hourlyLCI adjusted
Dec-074.33.3
Mar-084.73.4
Jun-085.33.6
Sep-085.74
Dec-085.53.5
Mar-095.43.3
Jun-094.72.8
Sep-0942.1
Dec-092.81.8
Mar-1011.5
Jun-1011.6
Sep-101.11.6
Dec-101.81.7
Mar-112.61.9
Jun-1131.9
Sep-113.22
Dec-112.82
Mar-123.82
Jun-122.92
Sep-122.81.9
Dec-122.61.8
Mar-132.11.7
Jun-132.11.7
Sep-132.61.7
Dec-132.91.6
Mar-142.51.6
Jun-142.51.7
Sep-142.31.6
Dec-142.61.8
Mar-152.11.7
Jun-152.81.6
Sep-152.31.6
Dec-152.11.5
Mar-162.41.6
Jun-162.11.5
Sep-161.71.6
Dec-161.31.6
Mar-171.51.6
Jun-171.61.7
Sep-172.21.9
Dec-173.11.8
Mar-183.51.8
Jun-1831.9
Sep-182.91.8
Dec-183.11.9
Mar-193.42
Jun-194.42.1
Sep-194.22.4
Dec-193.62.6
Mar-203.62.5
Jun-2032.1
Sep-203.61.9
Dec-204.21.6

In the year to the December 2020 quarter, average ordinary-time hourly earnings in the quarterly employment survey (QES) increased 4.2 percent to $34.14. Average ordinary-time weekly earnings increased to $1,289, up 3.6 percent annually, as average weekly hours fell across the year.

The rise in average hourly earnings reflected falls in the number of filled jobs and hours paid in lower-paid industries like administration and support services, while jobs and hours in higher-paid industries remained relatively stable.

"The QES also showed wages growing in response to labour demand in booming sub-industries," business prices delivery manager Bryan Downes said.

"Building construction, for instance, saw strong growth in both jobs and average wages as firms expanded."

High rises in construction jobs has more information about rises and falls in filled jobs.

In contrast, the labour cost index (LCI) for salary and wages (including overtime) reported slowing wage inflation, increasing 1.6 percent in the year to the December 2020 quarter, down from 1.9 percent in the previous quarter. Wage inflation has been dropping since the December 2019 quarter when it peaked at 2.6 percent.

Unlike the QES, the LCI measures changes only in the cost of labour, and so excludes changes in the amount or type of work done.

"In the LCI, we can see that annual wage inflation is slowing as fewer employees have received wage increases," Mr Downes said.

"Over the past year, more than half of the positions surveyed received no wage increase."

In the year to December 2020 quarter, the proportion of employees receiving annual wage increases fell to 45 percent - the lowest proportion of increases recorded since the March 2010 quarter - with both public and private sector wage increases becoming less frequent.

QuarterPercentage of increases
Dec-0757
Mar-0859
Jun-0861
Sep-0862
Dec-0860
Mar-0960
Jun-0955
Sep-0947
Dec-0944
Mar-1043
Jun-1046
Sep-1049
Dec-1053
Mar-1156
Jun-1158
Sep-1156
Dec-1157
Mar-1257
Jun-1256
Sep-1256
Dec-1255
Mar-1356
Jun-1355
Sep-1354
Dec-1354
Mar-1454
Jun-1457
Sep-1457
Dec-1459
Mar-1559
Jun-1557
Sep-1555
Dec-1554
Mar-1657
Jun-1656
Sep-1655
Dec-1655
Mar-1756
Jun-1757
Sep-1753
Dec-1751
Mar-1851
Jun-1852
Sep-1853
Dec-1856
Mar-1957
Jun-1958
Sep-1959
Dec-1961
Mar-2061
Jun-2056
Sep-2049
Dec-2045

"Annual wage inflation has been subdued, despite pockets of growth in industries where labour demand remains strong as the market adjusts to the impacts of COVID-19," Mr Downes said.

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