Population growth lowest since 1986

New Zealand’s resident population provisionally grew by 12,700 or 0.2 percent over the year, to reach 5.12 million at 30 June 2022, Stats NZ said today.

This is the lowest annual growth rate since June 1986 when the population barely changed (0.0 percent).

New Zealand’s population change is a combination of natural increase (births minus deaths) and net migration (migrant arrivals minus migrant departures).

“The net migration loss combined with a lower natural increase has resulted in this low level of population growth,” population estimates and projections acting manager Rebekah Hennessey said.

Please see text alternative below

Text alternative for Components of New Zealand population change, year ended June 2021

An ageing population

In the year ended June 2022, the number of births remained around 61,000 while the number of deaths grew by 10.1 percent to 36,900 from 33,500 in the year ended June 2021, due partly to population ageing. This led to natural increase reducing to 24,100 in the year ended June 2022 from 27,700 in the year ended June 2021. Deaths increase as population ages has more information on the impact of an ageing population on the number of deaths.

The narrowing gap between births and deaths is projected to continue, according to the recently published National population projections: 2022(base)-2073.

At 30 JunePopulation changeNatural increaseNet migration
199236600330003600
199340500318008700
1994478003100016800
1995534003070022700
1996586002910029500
1997493002980016800
19983370030500500
19992010028700-11400
20002260029600-9800
20012270029200-9300
2002680002650032800
2003788002750042500
2004603002960022000
200546300291008600
2006507003130010700
2007392003380010100
200836000359004700
2009428003500012500
2010481003620016500
201133300341003900
20122410031900-3200
201334000308007900
2014744002930033500
2015929002770053400
20161047002840064600
2017995002830059500
2018870002670049000
2019786002650052100
20201110002620084800
20212120027700-6500
20221270024100-11500

Among broad age groups, the population aged 65 years and over was the fastest growing, with an annual increase of 2.8 percent or 22,800 people, in the year ended June 2022. Most of this increase was a result of people born in the mid-1950s turning 65 and moving into this age group.

In contrast, the number of people aged 15-39 years shrank by 0.5 percent, or 8,700 people. This drop is mainly due to a population loss from migration, as well as more people moving out of this age group (to older ages) than moving into this age group (from younger ages).

At 30 June0-1415-3940-6465+
19918072001399100897500391300
19928143001402500915300399600
19938247001405700934100407800
19948353001412200956600415900
19958475001421100981400423400
199685950014339001008500430100
199786950014372001038300436300
199887630014296001067000442200
199987730014136001096200447900
200087870014007001124900453500
200187720013888001153900460600
200288360014057001191800467500
200389000014307001230900475700
200489310014434001266400484600
200589020014521001295200496400
200688830014637001321000511600
200789130014637001343500525300
200889550014604001368800535000
200990110014610001392100548300
201090810014646001414400563500
201191070014591001434100580100
201290980014505001444700603000
201390880014523001455000626000
201491170014845001471700648500
201591620015338001489200670200
201692460015900001507500692000
201793680016371001525800713800
201894640016769001542300734900
201995600017056001557700759800
202096640017501001581800791900
202196790017388001587200817400
202296430017301001589500840200

Text alternative for Components of New Zealand population change, year ended June 2021

Diagram shows population change for the year ended June 2022. Overall, population growth is 12,700 made up of a net gain of 24,100 natural increase (based on 61,000 live births, and 36,900 deaths) and a net migration of -11,500 (based on 49,200 migrant arrivals and 60,700 migrant departures). All estimates are provisional.

/Stats NZ Public Release. This material from the originating organization/author(s) may be of a point-in-time nature, edited for clarity, style and length. The views and opinions expressed are those of the author(s).View in full here.