| June year | Māori | Pacific | European or Other | Asian | MELAA | Chinese | Indian | Samoan |
| 2001 | 585900 | 261800 | 3074000 | 272500 | 27600 | 120400 | 71200 | 129900 |
| 2002 | 594900 | 269800 | 3101900 | 298900 | 29800 | 130200 | 80800 | 133700 |
| 2003 | 602900 | 277700 | 3129700 | 325300 | 32000 | 139900 | 90400 | 137400 |
| 2004 | 610700 | 285700 | 3157600 | 351600 | 34200 | 149700 | 100000 | 141200 |
| 2005 | 617600 | 293600 | 3185400 | 378000 | 36400 | 159400 | 109600 | 144900 |
| 2006 | 624300 | 301600 | 3213300 | 404400 | 38600 | 169200 | 119200 | 148700 |
| 2007 | 643600 | 307700 | 3227400 | 424000 | 40700 | 173200 | 127700 | 151400 |
| 2008 | 662700 | 313800 | 3241500 | 443500 | 42700 | 177200 | 136100 | 154100 |
| 2009 | 681000 | 319900 | 3255600 | 463100 | 44800 | 181200 | 144600 | 156800 |
| 2010 | 699200 | 326100 | 3269800 | 482600 | 46900 | 185200 | 153000 | 159600 |
| 2011 | 713900 | 332200 | 3283900 | 502200 | 49000 | 189200 | 161500 | 162300 |
| 2012 | 726400 | 338300 | 3298000 | 521700 | 51000 | 193200 | 169900 | 165000 |
| 2013 | 741500 | 344400 | 3312100 | 541300 | 53100 | 197200 | 178400 | 167700 |
| 2014 | 753800 | 357100 | 3338000 | 587200 | 57900 | 211800 | 194900 | 173200 |
| 2015 | 768700 | 369700 | 3364000 | 633000 | 62600 | 226400 | 211300 | 178700 |
| 2016 | 785500 | 382400 | 3389900 | 678900 | 67400 | 240900 | 227800 | 184200 |
| 2017 | 801700 | 395000 | 3415800 | 724700 | 72200 | 255500 | 244300 | 189700 |
| 2018 | 816500 | 407700 | 3441700 | 770600 | 77000 | 270100 | 260800 | 195100 |
| 2019 | 833400 | 418600 | 3479200 | 808100 | 83500 | 281500 | 274800 | 200200 |
| 2020 | 854500 | 430800 | 3529300 | 867300 | 90300 | 300000 | 296300 | 205900 |
| 2021 | 874800 | 440100 | 3556800 | 876800 | 92000 | 302200 | 299800 | 210600 |
| 2022 | 891300 | 449000 | 3579300 | 902000 | 94700 | 310400 | 307200 | 215100 |
| 2023 | 906900 | 457900 | 3599700 | 934300 | 98500 | 319600 | 319400 | 219700 |
| 2024 | 922600 | 466800 | 3619800 | 966500 | 102200 | 328900 | 331600 | 224300 |
| 2025 | 938300 | 475800 | 3639700 | 998800 | 105900 | 338200 | 343700 | 229000 |
| 2026 | 954200 | 484900 | 3659100 | 1030900 | 109600 | 347600 | 355700 | 233700 |
| 2027 | 970100 | 494000 | 3678000 | 1063100 | 113400 | 356900 | 367600 | 238400 |
| 2028 | 986100 | 503100 | 3696400 | 1095100 | 117100 | 366100 | 379500 | 243200 |
| 2029 | 1002300 | 512300 | 3714200 | 1127000 | 120800 | 375400 | 391300 | 248000 |
| 2030 | 1018600 | 521600 | 3731300 | 1158900 | 124500 | 384500 | 403100 | 252900 |
| 2031 | 1035000 | 530900 | 3747700 | 1190700 | 128100 | 393600 | 414800 | 257900 |
| 2032 | 1051500 | 540400 | 3763300 | 1222500 | 131800 | 402600 | 426600 | 262900 |
| 2033 | 1068100 | 549900 | 3778300 | 1254200 | 135600 | 411500 | 438400 | 268000 |
| 2034 | 1084900 | 559400 | 3792600 | 1285900 | 139300 | 420300 | 450200 | 273100 |
| 2035 | 1101800 | 569100 | 3806100 | 1317600 | 143000 | 429000 | 462100 | 278200 |
| 2036 | 1118800 | 578800 | 3819100 | 1349400 | 146800 | 437700 | 474100 | 283500 |
| 2037 | 1135900 | 588600 | 3831400 | 1381200 | 150600 | 446300 | 486300 | 288700 |
| 2038 | 1153200 | 598500 | 3843100 | 1413100 | 154400 | 454800 | 498500 | 294000 |
| 2039 | 1170600 | 608500 | 3854300 | 1445200 | 158200 | 463400 | 510900 | 299400 |
| 2040 | 1188200 | 618500 | 3865000 | 1477400 | 162100 | 471900 | 523400 | 304900 |
| 2041 | 1205900 | 628700 | 3875100 | 1509700 | 166000 | 480500 | 536100 | 310400 |
| 2042 | 1223700 | 638900 | 3884600 | 1542200 | 170000 | 489000 | 549000 | 316000 |
| 2043 | 1241600 | 649300 | 3893500 | 1574900 | 174000 | 497600 | 562000 | 321600 |
| At 30 June | Māori | Pacific | European or Other | Asian | MELAA | Chinese | Indian | Samoan |
| 2001 | 15.1 | 6.7 | 79.2 | 7 | 0.7 | 3.1 | 1.8 | 3.3 |
| 2002 | 15.1 | 6.8 | 78.7 | 7.6 | 0.8 | 3.3 | 2 | 3.4 |
| 2003 | 15 | 6.9 | 78.2 | 8.1 | 0.8 | 3.5 | 2.2 | 3.4 |
| 2004 | 14.9 | 7 | 77.8 | 8.6 | 0.8 | 3.7 | 2.4 | 3.5 |
| 2005 | 14.9 | 7.1 | 77.3 | 9.1 | 0.9 | 3.9 | 2.7 | 3.5 |
| 2006 | 14.9 | 7.2 | 76.8 | 9.7 | 0.9 | 4 | 2.8 | 3.6 |
| 2007 | 15.2 | 7.3 | 76.5 | 10 | 1 | 4.1 | 3 | 3.6 |
| 2008 | 15.6 | 7.4 | 76.2 | 10.4 | 1 | 4.2 | 3.2 | 3.6 |
| 2009 | 15.8 | 7.4 | 75.8 | 10.7 | 1 | 4.2 | 3.4 | 3.6 |
| 2010 | 16.1 | 7.5 | 75.5 | 11.1 | 1.1 | 4.3 | 3.5 | 3.7 |
| 2011 | 16.3 | 7.6 | 75.2 | 11.5 | 1.1 | 4.3 | 3.7 | 3.7 |
| 2012 | 16.5 | 7.7 | 74.9 | 11.8 | 1.2 | 4.4 | 3.9 | 3.7 |
| 2013 | 16.7 | 7.8 | 74.6 | 12.2 | 1.2 | 4.4 | 4 | 3.8 |
| 2014 | 16.7 | 7.9 | 73.7 | 12.9 | 1.3 | 4.7 | 4.3 | 3.8 |
| 2015 | 16.7 | 8 | 72.8 | 13.6 | 1.4 | 4.9 | 4.6 | 3.9 |
| 2016 | 16.7 | 8.1 | 72 | 14.3 | 1.4 | 5.1 | 4.8 | 3.9 |
| 2017 | 16.7 | 8.2 | 71.1 | 15 | 1.5 | 5.3 | 5.1 | 3.9 |
| 2018 | 16.7 | 8.3 | 70.2 | 15.7 | 1.6 | 5.5 | 5.3 | 4 |
| 2019 | 16.7 | 8.4 | 69.9 | 16.2 | 1.7 | 5.7 | 5.5 | 4 |
| 2020 | 16.8 | 8.5 | 69.3 | 17 | 1.8 | 5.9 | 5.8 | 4 |
| 2021 | 17.1 | 8.6 | 69.4 | 17.1 | 1.8 | 5.9 | 5.8 | 4.1 |
| 2022 | 17.2 | 8.7 | 69.2 | 17.4 | 1.8 | 6 | 5.9 | 4.2 |
| 2023 | 17.4 | 8.8 | 68.9 | 17.9 | 1.9 | 6.1 | 6.1 | 4.2 |
| 2024 | 17.5 | 8.9 | 68.7 | 18.3 | 1.9 | 6.2 | 6.3 | 4.3 |
| 2025 | 17.6 | 8.9 | 68.4 | 18.8 | 2 | 6.4 | 6.5 | 4.3 |
| 2026 | 17.8 | 9 | 68.2 | 19.2 | 2 | 6.5 | 6.6 | 4.4 |
| 2027 | 17.9 | 9.1 | 67.9 | 19.6 | 2.1 | 6.6 | 6.8 | 4.4 |
| 2028 | 18.1 | 9.2 | 67.7 | 20.1 | 2.1 | 6.7 | 7 | 4.5 |
| 2029 | 18.2 | 9.3 | 67.5 | 20.5 | 2.2 | 6.8 | 7.1 | 4.5 |
| 2030 | 18.4 | 9.4 | 67.2 | 20.9 | 2.2 | 6.9 | 7.3 | 4.6 |
| 2031 | 18.5 | 9.5 | 67 | 21.3 | 2.3 | 7 | 7.4 | 4.6 |
| 2032 | 18.7 | 9.6 | 66.8 | 21.7 | 2.3 | 7.1 | 7.6 | 4.7 |
| 2033 | 18.8 | 9.7 | 66.5 | 22.1 | 2.4 | 7.2 | 7.7 | 4.7 |
| 2034 | 19 | 9.8 | 66.3 | 22.5 | 2.4 | 7.3 | 7.9 | 4.8 |
| 2035 | 19.1 | 9.9 | 66.1 | 22.9 | 2.5 | 7.4 | 8 | 4.8 |
| 2036 | 19.3 | 10 | 65.8 | 23.3 | 2.5 | 7.5 | 8.2 | 4.9 |
| 2037 | 19.5 | 10.1 | 65.6 | 23.7 | 2.6 | 7.6 | 8.3 | 4.9 |
| 2038 | 19.6 | 10.2 | 65.4 | 24 | 2.6 | 7.7 | 8.5 | 5 |
| 2039 | 19.8 | 10.3 | 65.2 | 24.4 | 2.7 | 7.8 | 8.6 | 5.1 |
| 2040 | 20 | 10.4 | 65 | 24.8 | 2.7 | 7.9 | 8.8 | 5.1 |
| 2041 | 20.1 | 10.5 | 64.7 | 25.2 | 2.8 | 8 | 9 | 5.2 |
| 2042 | 20.3 | 10.6 | 64.5 | 25.6 | 2.8 | 8.1 | 9.1 | 5.2 |
| 2043 | 20.5 | 10.7 | 64.3 | 26 | 2.9 | 8.2 | 9.3 | 5.3 |
For more information about the drivers of these changes see National ethnic population projections 2018(base)-2043.
Māori and Asian ethnic group populations projected to surpass 1 million
As released in December 2020, New Zealand's total population could reach 6 million in about 20-30 years .
The Asian and Māori ethnic group populations are both projected to surpass 1 million, in 2024-2027 and 2028-2032, respectively. The Māori population growth is driven by above average birth rates combined with a young age structure, while the Asian population growth is driven by migration.
The Asian population is projected to grow faster than the Māori population and surpass it in the early 2020s. The individual ethnic groups within the broad Asian population group, such as Chinese and Indian, are projected to remain significantly smaller than the Māori population group.
The Pacific population is projected to surpass 0.5 million people in 2026-2031 followed by the Indian subgroup of the Asian population after the mid-2030s.
National ethnic population projections give an indication of the size and age structure of future populations by ethnic group usually living in New Zealand. They indicate possible outcomes based on different combinations of fertility, mortality, migration, and inter-ethnic mobility assumptions. The projections consider current policy settings, COVID-19 impacts, and historical population trends. They do not try to anticipate future major policy changes which may affect population change.
