Rise in imports sees current account deficit widen

New Zealand's seasonally adjusted current account deficit widened by $1.6 billion to $2.1 billion in the December 2020 quarter, Stats NZ said today.

"The widening of the quarterly deficit was driven by a rise in goods imports and a fall in services exports, which includes spending by overseas visitors in New Zealand," international statistics senior manager Darren Allan said.

"Imports of crude oil and motor cars fell sharply early in 2020, following COVID-19 travel restrictions, but those imports have since partially risen towards pre COVID-19 levels."

QuarterSeasonally adjusted current account balanceSeasonally adjusted goods balanceSeasonally adjusted services balancePrimary and secondary income balance
Dec-10-2157000000296000000365000000-2818000000
Mar-11-1644000000729000000307000000-2681000000
Jun-11-1250000000984000000177000000-2411000000
Sep-11-1719000000456000000385000000-2560000000
Dec-11-1304000000698000000630000000-2632000000
Mar-12-2492000000-277000000181000000-2396000000
Jun-12-2233000000131000000298000000-2662000000
Sep-12-1774000000212000000269000000-2254000000
Dec-12-197800000022000000166000000-2166000000
Mar-13-1965000000126000000287000000-2378000000
Jun-13-2148000000-192000000316000000-2272000000
Sep-13-2067000000-162000000299000000-2204000000
Dec-13-8590000001563000000158000000-2580000000
Mar-14-7870000001476000000293000000-2556000000
Jun-14-2166000000222000000256000000-2644000000
Sep-14-2271000000-228000000333000000-2377000000
Dec-14-2281000000-380000000761000000-2662000000
Mar-15-1706000000-118000000841000000-2429000000
Jun-15-2111000000-7050000001068000000-2474000000
Sep-15-1328000000-4590000001265000000-2135000000
Dec-15-1805000000-7780000001142000000-2169000000
Mar-16-1137000000-4460000001269000000-1960000000
Jun-16-1402000000-4930000001103000000-2012000000
Sep-16-1862000000-7160000001165000000-2310000000
Dec-16-1509000000-8730000001257000000-1893000000
Mar-17-2622000000-9550000001049000000-2716000000
Jun-17-1740000000-4730000001230000000-2498000000
Sep-17-1830000000-780000001256000000-3009000000
Dec-17-2237000000-5380000001234000000-2933000000
Mar-18-3416000000-17850000001212000000-2842000000
Jun-18-3194000000-13050000001145000000-3034000000
Sep-18-2800000000-870000000823000000-2753000000
Dec-18-3191000000-1175000000811000000-2827000000
Mar-19-2900000000-1000000000707000000-2606000000
Jun-19-2745000000-779000000706000000-2672000000
Sep-19-2803000000-1146000000646000000-2304000000
Dec-19-2092000000-870000000659000000-1880000000
Mar-20-1315000000-143000000655000000-1827000000
Jun-205330000002242000000-129000000-1580000000
Sep-20-492000000937000000389000000-1818000000
Dec-20-2095000000215000000-677000000-1633000000

For the third quarter in a row, on a seasonally adjusted basis, New Zealand exported more goods than it imported. However, as imports recovered, the goods surplus narrowed to $215 million in the quarter.

Imports of goods were $14.5 billion, up by $1.0 billion from the September quarter, largely due to the recovery in imports of crude oil and motor cars.

"Goods imports have increased in the September and December 2020 quarters, from the low in the June 2020 quarter, after COVID-19 lockdown restrictions eased," Mr Allan said.

"However, goods imports continue to remain lower than they were in 2018 and 2019."

The rise in goods exports (up $233 million in the December quarter) was mainly driven by an increase in fish, crustaceans, and molluscs; and milk powder, butter, and, cheese.

QuarterSeasonally adjusted goods exportsSeasonally adjusted goods importsSeasonally adjusted services exportsSeasonally adjusted services imports
Jun-006907000000684100000027460000002382000000
Sep-007548000000719300000027840000002518000000
Dec-008367000000761800000031250000002697000000
Mar-018126000000734500000031690000002662000000
Jun-018349000000734500000031290000002622000000
Sep-018370000000747200000031330000002533000000
Dec-018014000000748600000030700000002572000000
Mar-028010000000837800000034520000002634000000
Jun-027970000000732500000033990000002609000000
Sep-027762000000767300000035020000002585000000
Dec-027422000000766600000036200000002585000000
Mar-037368000000739800000033880000002443000000
Jun-037150000000741800000034230000002426000000
Sep-037208000000741800000035660000002562000000
Dec-037164000000760500000035730000002539000000
Mar-047551000000806500000035270000002603000000
Jun-048142000000847600000038340000002732000000
Sep-047475000000827800000036200000002813000000
Dec-047776000000859000000034980000002857000000
Mar-057789000000854900000035520000002947000000
Jun-057804000000880100000035000000002994000000
Sep-057721000000920800000038310000002995000000
Dec-057950000000902000000035660000002993000000
Mar-068024000000935900000036930000003079000000
Jun-068850000000974200000038170000003144000000
Sep-069296000000989800000037280000003155000000
Dec-068574000000952600000038920000003085000000
Mar-078820000000987100000039220000003144000000
Jun-078677000000972200000039030000003200000000
Sep-079025000000979500000040350000003299000000
Dec-07104620000001056100000039880000003387000000
Mar-08104700000001102400000040650000003433000000
Jun-08105180000001191500000042510000003748000000
Sep-08112460000001217700000040360000003724000000
Dec-08115350000001165500000041040000003852000000
Mar-09108270000001030600000042250000003688000000
Jun-0910153000000961500000039280000003420000000
Sep-099769000000917100000041070000003336000000
Dec-099384000000926100000039810000003318000000
Mar-1010565000000979300000039020000003433000000
Jun-10112000000001009500000040560000003482000000
Sep-10109860000001022700000040510000003574000000
Dec-10112330000001093700000040540000003689000000
Mar-11118170000001108900000040960000003789000000
Jun-11124610000001147700000040420000003865000000
Sep-11117260000001126900000042480000003863000000
Dec-11121940000001149600000044410000003811000000
Mar-12115850000001186200000040080000003827000000
Jun-12117730000001164200000041110000003813000000
Sep-12117670000001155500000041040000003835000000
Dec-12113580000001133600000040010000003834000000
Mar-13116290000001150300000040400000003753000000
Jun-13113280000001152000000041530000003837000000
Sep-13121390000001230100000042320000003932000000
Dec-13133330000001177100000040590000003901000000
Mar-14136290000001215300000042200000003927000000
Jun-14124390000001221700000042190000003963000000
Sep-14120740000001230200000043110000003978000000
Dec-14123250000001270500000049140000004153000000
Mar-15123350000001245200000050580000004217000000
Jun-15119310000001263600000053150000004247000000
Sep-15128200000001328000000056340000004369000000
Dec-15121410000001291900000055470000004405000000
Mar-16120560000001250200000057200000004451000000
Jun-16123350000001282900000056110000004507000000
Sep-16120140000001273100000056400000004475000000
Dec-16119470000001282000000057880000004532000000
Mar-17126080000001356400000058480000004800000000
Jun-17134780000001395100000060220000004792000000
Sep-17134110000001348800000061270000004871000000
Dec-17144050000001494300000062040000004970000000
Mar-18135850000001537000000063170000005106000000
Jun-18142940000001559900000064650000005320000000
Sep-18151210000001599100000063390000005516000000
Dec-18146930000001586800000064790000005668000000
Mar-19148070000001580800000065030000005797000000
Jun-19151550000001593400000065950000005889000000
Sep-19148410000001598700000066310000005985000000
Dec-19153520000001622200000067380000006079000000
Mar-20155450000001568900000063890000005734000000
Jun-20147340000001249100000038390000003968000000
Sep-20145210000001358400000040850000003695000000
Dec-20147540000001453900000033520000004029000000

"For the second time in 2020, New Zealand had a services balance deficit," Mr Allan said.

"Travel restrictions because of COVID-19 have seen a sharp drop in overseas visitors."

Over the past 20 years, New Zealand typically earned more from selling services overseas (for instance spending by international visitors on flights and hotels) than on buying services from overseas.

In the December 2020 quarter, New Zealand's seasonally adjusted services balance was a deficit of $677 million, compared with a $389 million surplus in the September 2020 quarter.

The services deficit was driven by a fall in services exports, down $733 million to $3.4 billion. Travel exports, including spending by international tourists in New Zealand, were down $504 million. Transport exports, spending on passenger flights and cargo, fell $25 million and remain at low levels.

"Services exports haven't been this low since the December 2001 quarter," Mr Allan said.

Services imports increased $333 million in the December quarter. Travel imports rose $80 million. Transport imports were up $78 million.

Smallest annual current account deficit since 2002

New Zealand's annual current account deficit for the year ended December 2020 was $2.5 billion, 0.8 percent of GDP, the smallest in almost 19 years. This compares with a deficit of $10.6 billion (3.3 percent of GDP) for the year ended December 2019.

"The last time the annual current account deficit was smaller was all the way back in June 2002," Mr Allan said.

"The small deficit reflects the impact of COVID-19, with a big drop in imports of crude oil and motor cars, lower spending by international visitors to New Zealand, and Kiwis spending far less on overseas travel."

QuarterCurrent account balance
Jun-00-5567000000
Sep-00-5338000000
Dec-00-3956000000
Mar-01-2765000000
Jun-01-1726000000
Sep-01-977000000
Dec-01-1038000000
Mar-02-1618000000
Jun-02-2024000000
Sep-02-2732000000
Dec-02-2842000000
Mar-03-2578000000
Jun-03-3370000000
Sep-03-3452000000
Dec-03-3513000000
Mar-04-4057000000
Jun-04-4114000000
Sep-04-5755000000
Dec-04-7029000000
Mar-05-7943000000
Jun-05-9538000000
Sep-05-10512000000
Dec-05-11485000000
Mar-06-12738000000
Jun-06-12460000000
Sep-06-12180000000
Dec-06-12147000000
Mar-07-11616000000
Jun-07-12138000000
Sep-07-12800000000
Dec-07-12555000000
Mar-08-12398000000
Jun-08-13201000000
Sep-08-14116000000
Dec-08-14706000000
Mar-09-13459000000
Jun-09-9567000000
Sep-09-5049000000
Dec-09-4177000000
Mar-10-2832000000
Jun-10-3363000000
Sep-10-4827000000
Dec-10-4613000000
Mar-11-5615000000
Jun-11-5825000000
Sep-11-6765000000
Dec-11-5904000000
Mar-12-6699000000
Jun-12-7700000000
Sep-12-7856000000
Dec-12-8494000000
Mar-13-7948000000
Jun-13-7847000000
Sep-13-8369000000
Dec-13-7232000000
Mar-14-5864000000
Jun-14-5743000000
Sep-14-6087000000
Dec-14-7559000000
Mar-15-8168000000
Jun-15-8228000000
Sep-15-7709000000
Dec-15-7258000000
Mar-16-6448000000
Jun-16-5733000000
Sep-16-6199000000
Dec-16-5904000000
Mar-17-7220000000
Jun-17-7476000000
Sep-17-7739000000
Dec-17-8527000000
Mar-18-9070000000
Jun-18-10407000000
Sep-18-11758000000
Dec-18-12757000000
Mar-19-12167000000
Jun-19-11595000000
Sep-19-11676000000
Dec-19-10560000000
Mar-20-9064000000
Jun-20-5730000000
Sep-20-2699000000
Dec-20-2549000000

International investment position remains steady

The net international investment position represents the difference between New Zealand's assets and liabilities with the rest of the world. New Zealand has a net liability position as we have more liabilities with the rest of the world than we do assets.

"A strengthening of the global financial markets and a stronger New Zealand dollar have both affected the value of our assets and liabilities," Mr Allan said.

The value of what New Zealand owns and owes overseas both rose by almost $19 billion in the December 2020 quarter. This left the country's balance sheet with the rest of the world, our net international liability position, almost unchanged at $177.1 billion.

Year ended in quarterNet international liability position (%)Net external debt (%)
Dec-0162.859.4
Mar-0265.760.9
Jun-0265.559.2
Sep-0265.459.2
Dec-0266.157.3
Mar-0366.355.1
Jun-0367.654.7
Sep-0368.155.4
Dec-0367.960.2
Mar-0469.661.1
Jun-0467.560.9
Sep-0470.561.8
Dec-0472.965.4
Mar-0571.764.9
Jun-0571.164.9
Sep-0573.567.6
Dec-0575.170.9
Mar-0672.671.7
Jun-0672.471.6
Sep-0675.174.4
Dec-0677.374.7
Mar-0775.474.3
Jun-0776.175.0
Sep-0775.776.6
Dec-0774.274.9
Mar-0874.175.3
Jun-0875.579.3
Sep-0880.583.7
Dec-0882.184.1
Mar-0984.383.9
Jun-0982.782.1
Sep-0982.081.4
Dec-0980.180.8
Mar-1078.480.0
Jun-1078.580.5
Sep-1073.675.8
Dec-1070.974.9
Mar-1162.166.6
Jun-1163.565.2
Sep-1167.568.6
Dec-1167.868.0
Mar-1266.966.2
Jun-1267.566.7
Sep-1267.766.4
Dec-1269.367.6
Mar-1367.865.6
Jun-1368.065.1
Sep-1366.262.8
Dec-1363.661.1
Mar-1464.758.9
Jun-1463.658.9
Sep-1463.258.4
Dec-1464.258.4
Mar-1562.057.0
Jun-1559.156.2
Sep-1560.355.4
Dec-1559.354.3
Mar-1660.754.9
Jun-1661.654.3
Sep-1662.657.4
Dec-1657.453.8
Mar-1754.453.0
Jun-1754.352.5
Sep-1753.152.4
Dec-1752.151.5
Mar-1851.450.7
Jun-1851.950.9
Sep-1852.151.0
Dec-1855.950.8
Mar-1953.649.2
Jun-1954.048.9
Sep-1954.849.4
Dec-1953.747.7
Mar-2055.743.8
Jun-2056.945.9
Sep-2055.346.9
Dec-2055.047.0
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