The significant new cuts in oil production announced by OPEC+ countries come during a period of heightened uncertainty for global oil markets and concerns about the outlook for the world economy. Forecasts by the IEA and other relevant institutions, representing consumers and producers alike, all indicate that global oil markets were already set to tighten in the second half of 2023, with the potential for a substantial supply deficit to emerge. The new OPEC+ cuts risk exacerbating those strains and pushing up oil prices at a time when strong inflationary pressures are hurting vulnerable consumers around the world, especially in emerging and developing economies.
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