WMO's regional climate forum for Asia (FOCRA II) has issued its climate outlook for the boreal summer, including seasonal predictions for the summer monsoon, for precipitation, for temperatures and tropical cyclones.
Asia (WMO RA II) is a vast continent with more than 60% of the world population and is greatly impacted by high seasonal climate variability and frequent weather and climate extremes.
Since 2009, the Forum on Regional Climate Monitoring, Assessment and Prediction for Asia (FOCRA II) , hosted by the China Meteorological Administration, has helped NMHSs in Asia to support decision-making on food and water security, health and wider economic planning.
This is one of a wide suite of services provided by the WMO community to support socio-economic development, save lives and protect livelihoods.
The recent FOCRA II seasonal outlook factors in forecasts from WMO Global Producing Centres for Seasonal Prediction. These indicate that the current cooler-than-average sea surface temperatures in the equatorial Pacific are returning to normal as the La Niña event gives way to ENSO (El Niño-Southern Oscillation) neutral conditions.
- Summer monsoon is predicted to be above normal for both East Asia and South Asia.
- Precipitation forecasts are based on the possible influence of external forcing factors and summer monsoon circulations.
- Temperature is predicted to be above or near normal across most regions of Asia.
- Tropical cyclone frequency over the northwestern Pacific and South China Sea will be near normal in 2025.
