Victorians “changed the future” and avoided a nightmare scenario of 650 deaths a day thanks to self isolation, Chief Health Officer, Dr Brett Sutton told a media conference today.
Modelling released by Dr Sutton showed that if COVID-19 had spread out-of-control, more than 58,000 Victorians could have contracted the virus every day, 10,000 patients could have needed intensive care and 7000 could have required ventilators.
“We have averted exactly this prediction [after strict social distancing rules were enacted],” Dr Sutton said.
“[The modelling] uses assumptions based on the experience of countries overseas as well as data from Australia to inform what might have occurred had we only had a case isolation and contact processes in place without social distancing measures.
“We saw this modelling and we changed the future two months ago by virtue of what we saw.”