New modelling has been released today by Professor Joshua Ross and Dr Thomas Prowse from the University of Adelaide. The latest modelling (PDF 632KB) provides an estimate of expected cases as well as adult hospitalisations, taking into account the lifting of density restrictions, increased activity around the festival season, and the more transmissible BA.2 variant.
The modelling shows we can expect a second wave in mid-April at around 8,000 daily cases. Thanks to the high rate of vaccination in the community, we expect hospitalisations in the next wave to peak at 200, similarly to what we saw in the first wave.
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