Destructive windsTorrential rainPossible floodingPossible disruption to essential supplies like electricity, water and gas
ADVICE TO THE PUBLIC:
Intensity: Category 3, sustained winds near the centre of 120 kilometres per hour with wind gusts to 165 kilometres per hour.
Location: within 35 kilometres of 13.0 degrees South 137.8 degrees East, estimated to be 140 kilometres southeast of Nhulunbuy and 175 kilometres east northeast of Alyangula.
Movement: west at 21 kilometres per hour.
Severe Tropical Cyclone Narelle is over the warm waters of the Gulf of Carpentaria. Narelle is beginning to impact the eastern Top End coast.
Narelle is forecast to cross the eastern Top End coast overnight tonight or early Sunday morning, most likely between Birany Birany and Numbulwar. Narelle will then weaken as it moves inland across the Top End on Sunday and Monday.
During Monday, a weakened Narelle is expected to move over the Joseph Bonaparte Gulf and gales are forecast to redevelop to the north of the centre. There is a Moderate chance that Narelle redevelops into a tropical cyclone while in the Joseph Bonaparte Gulf.
Hazards:
VERY DESTRUCTIVE WINDS with gusts to 185 km/h are forecast to develop in coastal areas between about Birany Birany and Numbulwar, including Groote Eylandt, this evening and overnight into Sunday as Narelle approaches from the east.
DESTRUCTIVE WIND GUSTS to 160 km/h are forecast to develop between Birany Birany and Numbulwar, including Groote Eylandt from late afternoon, and possibly extending to be between Nhulunbuy to Nathan River overnight tonight or Sunday morning depending on the movement of Narelle.
GALES with DAMAGING WIND GUSTS to 120 km/h developing in coastal and adjacent inland areas between Gapuwiyak and Nathan River, including Nhulunbuy, and are forecast to continue overnight into Sunday. These GALES may extend west to Ramingining, Bulman, and Ngukurr on Sunday.
HEAVY RAINFALL which may lead to FLASH FLOODING is developing about coastal and adjacent inland areas over the eastern Top End between Nhulunbuy and Nathan River, and is forecast to extend further inland during Sunday.
LOCALLY INTENSE RAINFALL leading to DANGEROUS AND LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODING is likely over the eastern Top End between Birany Birany and Numbulwar, including Groote Eylandt, during this afternoon and evening
Tides will be higher than normal between Nhulunbuy and Nathan River today and Sunday.
LARGE WAVES may produce MINOR FLOODING of low-lying coastal areas. A potentially DANGEROUS STORM TIDE between Cape Shield and Port Roper is possible as the cyclone centre crosses the coast with DAMAGING WAVES and DANGEROUS FLOODING.
