The Victorian Teacher Workforce Snapshot 2024 forecasts Victoria will be short more than 2,000 teachers by 2030, including a deficit of 1,675 secondary teachers and more than 400 primary teachers.
Despite an increase in registered teachers, the report shows more than 34,000 registered teachers are not employed in ongoing or fixed-term teaching or leadership roles, highlighting a growing gap between registration numbers and teachers actually available in classrooms.
The Snapshot also reveals increasing reliance on stopgap measures, with 2,164 Permission to Teach authorisations granted in 2024 alone, a 21 per cent increase in a single year.
The report also warns statewide figures mask severe regional shortages, with more than three quarters of schoolteachers living in major cities, leaving regional and hard-to-staff schools struggling to recruit.
Shadow Minister for Education Brad Rowswell said: "Today's report confirms Labor's teacher shortage crisis has no end in sight."
"Over coming years, Victoria will have a shortage of more than 1,600 secondary and 400 primary school teachers, meaning students will continue to be denied the world-class education they deserve.
"Labor's persistent failure to attract and retain the teaching workforce Victoria needs means students face more years of doubled-up classes, being sent home at lunchtime and poorer educational outcomes."
