Eastern Young Cattle Indicator driven by recent rain

The Eastern Young Cattle Indicator (EYCI) has started 2020 on the up, off the back of widespread rainfall across NSW and QLD. Rainfall totals in excess of 200mm were reported in northern NSW and southern QLD, reinvigorating restocker interest for young cattle throughout the eastern states, albeit follow up rain is still required for most regions.

On Tuesday 21 January, the EYCI rose to 536c/kg carcase weight (cwt), up 31c/kg from the week prior and tracking 81c/kg higher than the 10-year average for January. Whilst the EYCI contracted at the end of 2019, finishing up at 481.75c/kg, it has continued to trend higher throughout January to reach its highest level since October 2018.

Compared to this time last year, where the EYCI fell to 468.5c/kg following a hot and dry summer, the recent rainfall has offered some much needed reprieve to producers. Follow up rain will be required before any substantial moves higher, as hot conditions are anticipated for the remainder of the summer.

Producers have shown their intentions as a result of the recent rain, holding back stock, reflected in yardings dropping sharply compared to year ago levels. For the week ending 18 January, eastern states yardings were down 46% when compared to the same week last year. This has resulted in stronger competition for store cattle between encouraged restockers and already active feeder buyers.

Yardings peaked over autumn last year, seeing the EYCI fall below 400c/kg in the month of March. This year has seen slightly better conditions to date. However, a lack of follow up rainfall would see the supply of young cattle lift, resulting in similar downwards pressure for the EYCI.


© Meat & Livestock Australia Limited, 2019

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