24 June 2025. Michael Guerin, AgForce CEO.
In the race to a lower-emissions future, one fundamental truth must be acknowledged: that getting accurate emissions calculations is essential to resolving this conundrum.
For agriculture, this dilemma isn't just a matter of accounting - it's a matter of long-term viability, regional resilience, and responsible stewardship of our landscapes.
Historically, Australian agriculture has operated under a framework of emissions calculators that were often blunt instruments - built on outdated assumptions, inconsistent data, and, in some cases, models that did not reflect the lived reality of our production systems.
The consequences of this have been significant. Poor measurement has led to perverse outcomes, where producers striving to reduce their footprint have been penalised, and innovation has been stifled by uncertainty.
But the tide is turning. New work, such as the recent Feedlot Industry Emissions Report [June 2024], is shedding fresh light on the real emissions profile of Australian grain-fed cattle.
This report, grounded in updated science and improved methodologies, reveals that emissions from these systems are significantly lower than previous estimates - by as much as 30%. That's not just a technical correction; it's a game-changer for how we view methane reduction, productivity, and the sector's role in national climate goals.
This improved understanding comes at a critical time. As governments shape policy settings around carbon accounting, offsets, and supply chain requirements, the tools we use must be as precise as the targets they support.
Finalising policy based on flawed or premature assumptions risks locking in disadvantage and deterring the very investments we need to make in climate-smart agriculture.
That's why AgForce is calling for a pause on finalising key emissions-related policies until the next generation of calculators is complete and peer-reviewed. We must get this right - not just for fairness - the credibility of the entire system depends on it.
If we take the time now to invest in scientific accuracy and farmer-informed models, we will build a foundation that inspires confidence across industry, consumers, and investors alike. We will also empower the next generation of farmers to lead the charge - not as scapegoats in a national debate - but rather as solution-makers with the tools and trust they deserve.
Let's ensure that emissions measurement is a springboard for opportunity, not an anchor preventing progress.
