A new study by the Konrad Adenauer Program for Jewish-Arab Cooperation at TAU's Moshe Dayan Center finds that a large majority (73.2%) of Israel's Arab citizens support the inclusion of an Arab party in the government that will be formed after the next elections. In addition, the turnout of Arab voters is expected to increase.
The study's main findings:
A large majority (73.2%) support the participation of an Arab party in the next government: 41.8% support joining any government formed, and 31.4% support joining a center-left government. If elections for the Knesset were held today, the expected voter turnout in Arab society would be 57%, slightly higher than the 53.2% turnout in the 25th Knesset elections held in November 2022.
The war between Israel and Iran did not change the priorities of Arab citizens regarding fundamental political issues such as joining the government or support for Arab-Jewish political partnership. However, some impact is evident in the definition of personal identity.
Most of the Arab public (66% of respondents) believe in political cooperation between Arabs and Jews in Israel, but only 40.2% believe that the Jewish public actually supports such cooperation.
A large majority of the Arab public (75.4%) report a low sense of personal security. The two main factors negatively affecting their mood are the high incidence of violence in Arab communities (41.9%) and the ongoing war in Gaza (37.6%). At the same time, 64% of survey participants report that their financial situation is relatively good.
54% of survey respondents stated that the most important issue for the Arab public today is addressing the problem of violence and crime. A significant portion (23.2%) said that ending the war in Gaza is the most important issue.
The personal identity of Israel's Arab citizens includes three main components: Arab identity (36.2%), Israeli citizenship (30.3%), and religious affiliation (21.4%). For a relatively small portion of this public (9.7%), their Palestinian identity is the most important.
The study was initiated by the Konrad Adenauer Program for Jewish-Arab Cooperation, operating under the German Konrad Adenauer Stiftung at the Moshe Dayan Center for Middle Eastern and African Studies at Tel Aviv University.
Dr. Arik Rudnitzky, Director of the Konrad Adenauer Program for Jewish-Arab Cooperation at the Moshe Dayan Center: "A large, solid majority of Israel's Arab citizens support political partnership between Arabs and Jews, as well as the inclusion of an Arab party in the government that will be formed after the next elections. The importance of this political standpoint cannot be overstated".
"It should be understood against the backdrop of a harsh reality in which the mood in the Arab public is low due to the rampant violence in Arab communities, the negative effects of the war in Gaza, and also the recent brief war with Iran, which starkly exposed the severe lack of protective facilities in Arab communities. Nevertheless, and contrary to expectations, Israel's Arab citizens refuse to despair and look soberly at the day after the war. According to this survey, voter turnout of Arab citizens in the next Knesset elections will be slightly higher than in the elections of November 2022. Opinions are divided on whether the precedent of the inclusion of Arab party Ra'am in the Bennett-Lapid government (2021-22) was successful, but even those who criticize MK Mansour Abbas (Head of Ra'am) for this move do not necessarily oppose the attempt itself - rather, they believe Ra'am could have achieved more. Thus, precisely in the context of the longest and harshest war in the history of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, the survey points to the hope residing in the hearts of Arab citizens for establishing a political partnership between Arabs and Jews in the day after the war".
Dr Arik Rudnitzky
