Carbon Hoofprint of Meat Consumption in US Cities

University of Michigan

Researchers mapped greenhouse gas emissions associated with producing meat for cities across contiguous US, providing clearer picture of its environmental impact and ways it can be reduced

The per capita carbon footprint for continental U.S. cities varies from about 500 kilograms of carbon dioxide equivalent to over 1,700 kilograms. Areas including the Pacific Northwest and the Northern Midwest are at the lower end of that spectrum, while areas in the Central Midwest and Southeast are higher.
The per capita carbon hoofprint-the greenhouse gas emissions associated with meat consumption per resident-varies greatly over cities throughout the U.S. Image credit: B. P. Goldstein et al. Nat. Clim. Change 2025 (DOI: 10.1038/s41558-025-02450-7). Used under a CC BY license.

Study: The carbon hoofprint of cities is shaped by geography and production in the livestock supply chain (DOI: 10.1038/s41558-025-02450-7)

Depending on where you live in the United States, the meat you eat each year could be responsible for a level of greenhouse gas emissions that's similar to what's emitted to power your house.

That's according to new research from the University of Michigan and the University of Minnesota published in the journal Nature Climate Change. The study provides a first-of-its kind, systematic analysis that digs into the environmental impacts of the sprawling supply chains that the country relies on for its beef, pork and chicken.

Supported in part by the U.S. National Science Foundation, the team calculated and mapped those impacts, which they've dubbed meat's "carbon hoofprint," for every city in the contiguous U.S. While the study does underscore the size of America's urban carbon hoofprint-it's larger than the entire carbon footprint of Italy-it also provides city-specific information that residents and governments can use to make positive changes.

Benjamin Goldstein
Benjamin Goldstein

"This has huge implications for how we gauge the environmental impact of cities, measure those impacts and ultimately develop policies to reduce those impacts," said Benjamin Goldstein, a leader of the study and assistant professor at Michigan's School for Environment and Sustainability.

For example, policymakers have rolled out campaigns and initiatives that help home owners reduce their carbon footprints by incentivizing and subsidizing things like installing solar panels and insulation, he said. These projects can still cost thousands, if not tens of thousands, of dollars.

"But if you just cut out half of your beef consumption and maybe switch to chicken, you can get similar amounts of greenhouse gas savings depending on where you live," Goldstein said. "If we can get people to use this type of study to think about how diets in cities impact their environmental impacts, this could have huge effects across the United States."

Chains and links

A map shows the cities in the contiguous U.S. color-coded by their carbon hoofsporting as a percentage of their household energy use. Nearly 54 million residents reside in cities that fall between 4.71% and 28.5%, clustered in the Northern Midwest and through the Mid-Atlantic. The majority of cities fall between 28.5% and 39.9%, with nearly 92 million Americans falling in that range, in cities distributed throughout the country. Another 110 plus million residents fall between 39.9% and 84.3%, with a higher concentration of these areas near the western, southern and southeastern borders of the country. Finally, more than 1.5 million Americans fall into the 84.3% to 161% range, with these cities located in Southern California, Southern Texas, Florida and the Carolinas.
The greenhouse gas emissions associated with meat consumption in each city is shown as a percentage of its emissions from energy usage. Image credit: B. P. Goldstein et al. Nat. Clim. Change 2025 (DOI: 10.1038/s41558-025-02450-7). Used under a CC BY license.

Looking at the team's maps of carbon hoofprints, one of the most apparent things is how much it varies across the country. And while that likely isn't shocking-the U.S. is a large and diverse country-the reasons why are more nuanced than people might suspect.

For instance, it'd be natural to assume cities with higher meat consumption per capita would have a higher per capita hoofprint. But the team found the correlation between those variables was actually quite low.

Another obvious candidate are the emissions from transporting meat from the rural areas where it's produced to the cities that consume it. While that is a piece of the puzzle, the researchers found it's not a particularly big one.

"There's not a single emissions value for the meat we consume," said Rylie Pelton, a research scientist at the University of Minnesota's Institute on the Environment and co-leader of the study. "That's because the supply chains are different in different locations. And also the impacts of production-the ways that beef, chicken, pork and feed are produced-are different in those different locations. That all matters from an emissions standpoint."

An xy-coordinate plane shows carbon hoofprint per capita along its y-axis and per capita meat consumption along its x-axis. 691 cities, including San Jose, California, are below the average meat consumption of about 80 kilograms per person per year and the average hoofprint of about 1,100 kilograms of carbon dioxide equivalent per person. 868 cities including Milwaukee, Wisconsin and Houghton, Michigan are in the above average meat consumption and below average hoofprint quadrant. McAllen, Texas and Oklahoma City, Oklahoma are two of the 931 cities in the below average consumption and above average hoofprint quadrant. Richmond, Missouri and Key West, Florida are two examples of the 1,041 cities in the above average consumption and above average hoofprint quadrant.
Per capita meat consumption is not a good predictor of per capita carbon hoofprint. Image credit: B. P. Goldstein et al. Nat. Clim. Change 2025 (DOI: 10.1038/s41558-025-02450-7). Used under a CC BY license.

To illustrate this point, consider how the country's second-largest city, Los Angeles, gets its beef, the meat with the largest carbon hoofprint. L.A.'s beef comes from processing facilities in 10 counties. But the meat that's processed in those facilities comes from livestock raised in 469 counties by feed that's sourced from 828 counties.

Each stop and product along that supply chain has its own processes with an associated carbon footprint, such as using fertilizer for growing feed and managing manure on farms. That's combined with transporting a variety of goods across the physical extent of the full chains, which can stretch thousands of miles. The team considered these wide-ranging factors in evaluating the carbon hoofprint for more than 3,500 locations.

Joshua Newell
Joshua Newell

"This is really the first systematic and analytical effort to map what we call urban-land teleconnections. It's understanding that cities have massive impacts beyond their borders," said Joshua Newell, a senior investigator on the study and professor of environment and sustainability at Michigan. "It is our hope that this study provides an example of how we can foster better understanding between two different places: One largely urban and one distinctly rural where our food is produced."

The team's analysis relied on the Food System Supply-Chain Sustainability, or FoodS3, platform initially developed at the University of Minnesota to study the country's corn supply chain. Over the course of eight years, the hoofprint team, led by Pelton and Goldstein, built a framework to apply the platform to a broader set of questions pertaining to meat (the team pointed out that the platform is being used to study other agricultural products could also be extended to nonagricultural commodities that cities rely on, like steel, as well).

A stacked bar graph shows the impact of different strategies to reduce the national carbon hoofprint. Halving food loss leads to a 16% reduction in the baseline carbon hoofprint of 329 million metric tons of carbon dioxide equivalent. Replacing half of beef consumed with pork and chicken leads to a 29% reduction in baseline, while replacing half the beef with chicken alone leads to a 33% reduction. Practicing Meatless Mondays leads to a 14% reduction. Combining the strategies of halving food loss, replacing half the consumed beef with chicken and practicing Meat Mondays leads to a 51% reduction.
Combining a variety of individual actions has the potential to shrink the country's urban carbon hoofprint by half. Image credit: B. P. Goldstein et al. Nat. Clim. Change 2025 (DOI: 10.1038/s41558-025-02450-7). Used under a CC BY license.

The researchers hope that their hoofprint study provides new perspectives that can inspire more creative solutions at various points of the supply chain.

"We can start identifying linkages between cities and the rural areas that produce our food," Pelton said. "If we can identify those links, there might be opportunities for cities to engage with those distant locations, to help provide financial incentives and support in general to adopt certain practices that would ultimately help their own carbon footprint."

Jennifer Schmitt, a senior author of the study and senior research scientist who leads the FoodS3 team at Minnesota, agreed.

"We are all connected," she said, summarizing what, to her, was the take-home message of the study. By keeping that in mind, people can work toward solutions that are sustainable not just environmentally, but economically.

For example, while city residents could stop eating pork to shrink their carbon hoofprint, that puts a financial strain on hog farmers. Instead, urban residents could talk to their city government about sponsoring equipment, such as anaerobic digesters, at hog farms to reduce their environmental impact.

"My hope is that this is the beginning of an urban-rural conversation," Schmitt said. "I get that that may seem ideal, but whatever. I'm an idealist."

Dimitrios Gounaridis, assistant research scientist at Michigan, and Nathaniel Springer, research scientist at Minnesota, also contributed to the study.

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