Kyoto, Japan -- Stifling heat and sticky air often make summertime in the city uncomfortable. Due to the heat island effect, urban areas are significantly warmer than nearby rural areas, even at night. This, combined with more frequent extreme weather events caused by climate change, often render the city an unpleasant environment in the summer.
Urbanization and climate change modify the thermal environment of urban areas, with an expectation that urban disasters from extremely hot weather and heavy rainfall will only become more severe. Mitigating potential damage involves reducing the intensity of the heat island effect and adapting to climate change.
Motivated by this problem, a team of researchers at Kyoto University set out to investigate how the reduction in urban heat release could help mitigate and control the rapid development of thunderstorms and local rainfall.
The team conducted numerical simulations of a local rain storm using a mesoscale meteorological model. The team selected a rainfall event in Osaka City on 27 August 2023 that occurred under summertime afternoon conditions without the influence of a typhoon or weather front.
After reproducing this rainfall event in a series of control simulations with different initial conditions, the team conducted a set of numerical experiments in which they systematically reduced sensible heat fluxes at the surface in land and urban areas, such as urban heat release.
When comparing the results between the control and sensitivity simulations, the team examined the impact of reducing sensible heat fluxes over urban areas on the intensity and amount of rainfall in Osaka City. Their results demonstrate that the reduction of heat release in urban areas can lead to the mitigation and control of local-scale rainfall on summer afternoons.
"Our study indicates that the regulation of urban heat release as a weather modification method is a promising approach in controlling local-scale rainfall," says first author Kenta Irie.
Due to the compounding effects of climate change and urban heating, the increase in weather-related issues is becoming part of daily life in urban and residential environments. It is necessary to prepare for these changes in extreme weather such as heavy rainfall and strong wind in cities, and this research has revealed one way of doing so.
"We are excited to learn that regulating urban heat release has the potential to help us deal with urban weather-related issues," says corresponding author Tetsuya Takemi.
The researchers are now using a high-resolution numerical model, which represents actual urban environments, to investigate the impacts of heat release from individual buildings and streets in real cities. They plan to combine this numerical modeling and the mesoscale meteorological model to quantitatively assess how to control local-scale rainfall with the reduction in urban heat release.
"We hope to further advance our study on urban extreme weather and contribute to further mitigation of these problems," says Takemi.
