The Centre for National Security Ethics (CeNSE) has released an intelligence assessment on the likely trend in US Presidential politics in 2026. It concludes that President Trump will likely undertake an armed coup in the months leading up to the mid-term election on 3 November next year.
The short article addresses precedents for such a "self-coup", including Trump's failed attempt on 6 January 2021. It summarises intelligence indicators of a likely coup.
The article has been written by a researcher with significant experience in intelligence assessment, as well as academic study over several decades of the associated fields of political violence, terrorism and extremism.
CeNSE prefers not to reveal or comment on the personal identities of authors of its work or collaborators. It prefers to let the analysis speak for itself.
CeNSE has been maturing over several years but has held back on public comment until now because of the extreme need for moral leadership in national security policy in Australia. Our website, www.ethicalshield.org, is under development.
