Population projections for statistical areas, 2023–53

Statistical area 2 (SA2) and statistical area 3 (SA3) population projections released in Aotearoa Data Explorer (ADE) provide an indication of future changes in the size and age-sex structure of the population usually living in each area.

Access data in Aotearoa Data Explorer (ADE)

Use ADE to view and download time-series data for SA2 and SA3 population projections:

Statistical area 2 and 3 population projections, by age and sex, 2023(base)-2053

Statistical area 2 and 3 population projections, characteristics, 2023(base)-2053

Statistical area 2 and 3 population projections, projection assumptions, 2023(base)-2053

About this release

This is the eighth instalment of the statistical area 2 (SA2) and statistical area 3 (SA3) population projections. This release includes SA2 and SA3 areas for the following territorial authority areas:

  • Hamilton city
  • Palmerston North city
  • Christchurch city
  • Invercargill city.

These projections are by five-year age group and sex. Projections for additional territorial authority areas will be released as they become available.

Population statistics - user guide has more information on how to use population projections.

These projections supersede the previously updated 2018-base SA2 population projections, which will continue to be available on ADE until all 2023-base SA2 and SA3 population projections have been released.

Technical enquiries

Population estimates, projections, and coverage team
[email protected]
04 931 4600

Next release

Statistical area 2 and 3 population projections: 2023(base)-2053 - ninth instalment will be released on 28 January 2027.

/Stats NZ Public Release. This material from the originating organization/author(s) might be of the point-in-time nature, and edited for clarity, style and length. Mirage.News does not take institutional positions or sides, and all views, positions, and conclusions expressed herein are solely those of the author(s).View in full here.