IMF Wraps Up 4th Review of Costa Rica's Extended Fund Facility & 1st Review under Resilience & Sustainability Facility

  • The IMF Executive Board concluded today the fourth review under the Extended Fund Facility (EFF) for Costa Rica, allowing for a disbursement equivalent to about US$ [274] million.
  • The IMF Executive Board also concluded the first review under Costa Rica's Resilience and Sustainability Facility (RSF) arrangement, making available about US$[245] million in support of Costa Rica's ambitious climate change agenda.
  • The authorities continue to make important progress on Costa Rica's economic reform agenda. Going forward, the overall policy stance should remain focused on durably bringing inflation back to target and keeping public debt on a firm downward path, while advancing reforms to achieve green, dynamic and inclusive growth.

Washington, DC: The Executive Board of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) completed today the fourth review of Costa Rica's economic reform program supported by the IMF's extended arrangement under the Extended Fund Facility (EFF). Completion of this review makes available SDR 206.23 million (about US$ [274] million), bringing total disbursements under the arrangement to SDR 825.0 million (about US$ [1.1] billion).

The Executive Board also concluded today the first review under Costa Rica's Resilience and Sustainability Facility (RSF) arrangement. Completion of this assessment makes available SDR 184.7 million (about US$ 245 million).

Costa Rica's three-year extended arrangement under the EFF was approved on March 1, 2021, in the amount of SDR 1.23749 billion (US$1.778 billion or 335 percent of quota in the IMF at the time of approval of the arrangement, see Press Release No. 21/53) and was extended by five months on March 25, 2022 (see Press Release No. 22/91).

Costa Rica's RSF arrangement was approved on November 14, 2022, in the amount of SDR 554.1 million (about US$ 725 million or 150 percent of quota in the IMF at the time of approval of the arrangement, see Press Release No. 22/382). Its duration coincides with the period remaining under the EFF, disbursements under the RSF being contingent on the conclusion of relevant reviews under the EFF and implementation of scheduled reform measures.

Following the Executive Board's discussion on Costa Rica, Mr. Kenji Okamura, Deputy Managing Director and Acting Chair of the Board, issued the following statement:

"The Costa Rican authorities are making important progress on their economic reform agenda. Growth has been resilient despite global headwinds and inflation is on a strong downward trend. Program performance under both the Extended Fund Facility and the Resilience and Sustainability Facility remains strong.

"The Central Bank of Costa Rica (BCCR)'s data-dependent, forward-looking approach helped bring inflation back down. While there is scope for further monetary easing in 2023, policies should remain attentive to risks to the inflation outlook. The authorities are taking gradual steps to strengthen the BCCR's autonomy, governance, and operational framework, and should persist in those efforts.

"Fiscal targets were met by large margins, further strengthening debt sustainability. Proposed tax reforms, including recently submitted legislation, will make the system more progressive, equitable, efficient, and environmentally friendly. The steady improvement in public debt management is also welcome. The implementation of the Public Employment Bill is taking longer than expected, but recent progress represents a crucial milestone toward a full implementation.

"The supervisory authorities' continuous proactive monitoring of the financial system is important, as are the coming legal reforms to enhance the framework for bank resolution and deposit insurance, which will further strengthen the financial safety net.

"Important improvements to the targeting and efficiency of social programs are underway to help address relatively high poverty rates, and new incentives to formalize employment, support female labor force participation and entrepreneurship, and improve the business climate are key steps towards a more dynamic and equitable economy.

"The RSF arrangement is supporting Costa Rica's ambitious climate change agenda. The authorities completed all RSF reform measures for this review, taking steps to incorporate climate considerations into fiscal planning and policy, infrastructure investments, financial sector supervision, and the investment of the country's international reserves. The authorities are also intensifying efforts to attract climate financing from official and private sector sources.

Costa Rica: Selected Economic and Financial Indicators

Projections

2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

2024

2025

2026

2027

2028

Output and Prices

(Annual percentage change)

Real GDP

2.4

-4.3

7.8

4.3

3.0

3.2

3.2

3.3

3.2

3.2

GDP deflator

2.6

0.8

2.0

5.8

2.0

3.2

3.1

3.0

3.1

3.0

Consumer prices (period average)

2.1

0.7

1.7

8.3

1.9

3.0

3.0

3.0

3.0

3.0

Savings and Investment

(In percent of GDP)

Gross domestic saving

14.8

15.1

16.3

14.7

16.7

17.3

17.9

17.9

17.9

18.1

Gross domestic investment

16.1

16.2

19.6

18.6

20.2

19.9

20.3

20.0

19.9

19.9

External Sector

Current account balance

-1.3

-1.0

-3.3

-4.0

-3.4

-2.7

-2.4

-2.1

-1.9

-1.8

Trade balance

-6.0

-2.7

-4.4

-5.6

-5.7

-5.7

-5.9

-6.0

-6.0

-6.2

Financial account balance

-2.0

-1.9

-2.5

-3.2

-3.4

-2.6

-2.3

-2.1

-1.9

-1.8

Foreign direct investment, net

-4.2

-2.6

-4.8

-4.3

-3.4

-3.2

-3.3

-3.3

-3.2

-3.2

Gross international reserves (millions of U.S. dollars)

8,937

7,232

6,921

8,724

10,541

11,205

11,527

12,258

12,830

13,518

-as percent of ARA metric

132.5

108.4

96.7

100.9

110.5

110.1

108.7

108.5

107.7

107.7

External debt

47.8

49.6

50.0

52.4

47.5

48.4

48.4

49.0

49.1

49.1

Public Finances 1/

Central government primary balance

-2.6

-3.7

-0.3

2.1

1.5

1.9

2.0

2.0

2.1

2.1

Central government overall balance

-6.7

-8.4

-5.1

-2.8

-3.4

-2.8

-2.4

-2.1

-1.9

-1.7

Central government debt

64.5

66.9

68.0

63.8

62.4

61.4

60.4

59.1

57.6

55.9

Money and Credit

Credit to the private sector (percent change)

-2.3

3.4

3.7

3.3

3.8

6.0

6.1

6.1

6.2

6.2

Monetary base 2/

7.1

8.3

7.9

8.1

7.9

7.8

7.7

7.7

7.8

7.8

Broad money

44.8

54.8

54.1

47.9

47.9

47.9

47.3

47.2

47.2

47.2

Memorandum Items

Nominal GDP (billions of colones) 3/

37,832

36,495

40,113

44,252

46,483

49,500

52,669

56,040

59,632

63,400

Output gap (as percent of potential GDP)

0.2

-3.6

-0.1

0.8

0.5

0.2

0.1

0.1

0.0

0.0

GDP per capita (US$)

12,691

12,164

12,473

13,075

16,250

17,016

17,779

18,560

19,402

20,225

Unemployment rate

12.4

20.0

13.7

11.7

10.7

10.1

9.8

9.6

9.5

9.3

Sources: Central Bank of Costa Rica, and Fund staff estimates.

1/ For comparison purpose, starting from 2019, central government figures include public entities that are consolidated under the central government from 2021 onwards as required by Law 9524.

2/ We use a narrower definition of monetary base that includes only currency issued and required reserves.

3/ National account data reflect the revision of the benchmark year to 2017 for the chained volume measures, published in January 2021.

/Public Release. This material from the originating organization/author(s) might be of the point-in-time nature, and edited for clarity, style and length. Mirage.News does not take institutional positions or sides, and all views, positions, and conclusions expressed herein are solely those of the author(s).View in full here.