When Mauna Loa erupted in 2022, the largest lava flow headed on a path headed directly toward Daniel K. Inouye State Highway 200, also known as Saddle Road, a critical route that carries many residents from their homes on one side to their jobs on the other.
No one could accurately predict whether the lava would continue to flow and eventually block the highway, or stop short, sparing the road.
However, when the volcano next erupts scientists will be better able to monitor the eruption in real-time and make more accurate predictions about where the lava will flow and when the volcano might erupt. These advances are thanks to the availability of satellite data from public and private sources as well as machine learning algorithms developed at Pitt with help from a colleague in Italy, as highlighted in a recent publication in the Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research .
