Unemployment rate at 3.9 percent

The seasonally adjusted unemployment rate was 3.9 percent in the September 2023 quarter, compared with 3.6 percent last quarter, according to figures released by Stats NZ today.

"The unemployment rate increased over the past year, up from 3.2 percent in the September 2022 quarter," work and wellbeing senior manager Victoria Treliving said.

The underutilisation rate was 10.4 percent in the September 2023 quarter. This compared with 9.9 percent from the previous quarter, and 8.9 percent from the previous year. Underutilisation is a broader measure of spare labour market capacity than unemployment alone.

QuarterUnderutilisation rateUnemployment rate
Sep-049.93.9
Dec-049.93.7
Mar-059.43.9
Jun-059.63.8
Sep-059.13.8
Dec-059.33.7
Mar-0694.1
Jun-068.63.7
Sep-068.83.9
Dec-0610.43.8
Mar-079.93.9
Jun-079.83.6
Sep-0793.6
Dec-079.23.4
Mar-0810.33.8
Jun-08103.8
Sep-0810.54.1
Dec-0811.34.4
Mar-0912.35
Jun-0913.75.8
Sep-0914.86.2
Dec-09156.6
Mar-1013.65.9
Jun-1014.26.6
Sep-1013.96.1
Dec-10146.2
Mar-11146
Jun-1114.16.1
Sep-1113.66
Dec-1113.76.1
Mar-1214.16.4
Jun-1214.76.4
Sep-1215.66.7
Dec-1214.76.3
Mar-13135.8
Jun-1313.36
Sep-1314.15.8
Dec-13145.7
Mar-1413.25.6
Jun-1413.35.3
Sep-1412.85.3
Dec-1413.35.5
Mar-1513.65.5
Jun-1513.65.5
Sep-1513.75.6
Dec-1512.55
Mar-1613.75.3
Jun-1613.15.1
Sep-1612.75
Dec-1612.45.3
Mar-1712.34.9
Jun-17124.9
Sep-1712.14.7
Dec-1712.24.5
Mar-1811.94.4
Jun-1812.14.6
Sep-1811.34
Dec-1812.24.3
Mar-1911.34.2
Jun-1911.14.1
Sep-1910.34.1
Dec-1910.14.1
Mar-2010.44.2
Jun-2012.14.1
Sep-20135.2
Dec-2011.94.9
Mar-2112.14.6
Jun-2110.54
Sep-219.13.3
Dec-219.23.2
Mar-229.43.2
Jun-229.33.3
Sep-228.93.2
Dec-229.43.4
Mar-239.13.4
Jun-239.93.6
Sep-2310.43.9

"Increases in unemployment and underutilisation over the year indicate increasing spare capacity in the labour market following competitive labour market conditions in 2021 and 2022," Treliving said.

Higher unemployment and underemployment behind rise in underutilisation

In the September 2023 quarter, the number of people who were underutilised increased by 13,000. Growth in the number of unemployed and underemployed people contributed roughly equal amounts to the increase, up 8,000 and 7,000 respectively. The potential labour force fell slightly by 2,000.

People who are underemployed are those employed part-time who want, and are available for, more work. The potential labour force includes people who want jobs but are either unavailable to start work or are not actively seeking work.

QuarterUnderemployedUnemployedTotal potential labour force
Sep-16113000131000103000
Dec-1610700014100095000
Mar-17110000132000100000
Jun-17103000131000100000
Sep-1711500012900098000
Dec-17123000123000100000
Mar-18115000120000106000
Jun-18117000128000104000
Sep-18110000110000107000
Dec-18120000122000114000
Mar-19104000116000107000
Jun-1911000011400099000
Sep-199300011500091000
Dec-199200011600087000
Mar-209200012100095000
Jun-20128000116000113000
Sep-20133000148000106000
Dec-2011700014100096000
Mar-21123000134000106000
Jun-2110800011500091000
Sep-21950009500082000
Dec-211010009300082000
Mar-22950009500091000
Jun-22940009700086000
Sep-22980009500076000
Dec-2210000010000086000
Mar-239300010300085000
Jun-2310700011000094000
Sep-2311400011800092000

Underutilisation grew the most among young adults. Youth aged 15-24 years accounted for half the total rise in underutilisation over the year - 26,500 out of a total increase of 53,100 (based on non-seasonally adjusted figures).

Compared with the rest of the population, 15-24-year-olds tend to have higher rates of underutilisation. In the September 2023 quarter, the underutilisation rate was 27.0 percent for those aged 15-24, compared with 7.1 percent for the rest of the population.

Employment rate falls

The employment rate fell to 69.1 percent from a series high of 69.8 percent last quarter. However, the rate remains historically high - the fifth highest rate since the Household Labour Force Survey began in 1986.

"The fall in the employment rate over the quarter reflects two factors - growth in the working-age population and a decrease in the number of employed people," Treliving said.

The employment rate is the number of employed people as a proportion of the working-age population. The working-age population grew by 31,000 over the quarter, while the number of employed people fell by 6,000.

Text alternative for diagram of labour market summary, September 2023 quarter, seasonally adjusted

Diagram shows data from September 2023 quarter's Household Labour Force Survey (HLFS), Quarterly Employment Survey (QES), and labour cost index (LCI).

HLFS results for the September 2023 quarter showed the labour force participation rate was down 0.5pp (percentage points) to 72.0 percent. This rate is derived from labour force divided by working-age population. The employment rate was down 0.7pp to 69.1 percent. This is derived from employed divided by working-age population. The unemployment rate was up 0.3pp to 3.9 percent. This is derived from unemployed divided by labour force. The underutilisation rate was up 0.4pp to 10.4 percent. This is derived from total underutilised divided by extended labour force.

The working-age population was up 31,000 to 4,222,000. This is made up of the labour force, up 2,000 to 3,037,000, and people not in the labour force, up 29,000 to 1,184,000. The labour force is made up of employed people, down 6,000 to 2,919,000, and those unemployed, up 8,000 to 118,000.

Average ordinary time hourly earnings from the QES were up 6.7 percent annually, to $40.40.

Annual wage inflation from the LCI was 4.3 percent, for all industries and occupations combined.

Average weekly earnings from the QES were up 5.5 percent annually, to $1,558.

Notes:

  • Household Labour Force Survey data, unless otherwise stated.
  • Average ordinary time hourly earnings, annual wage inflation, and average weekly earnings are not seasonally adjusted.
  • Average weekly earnings includes ordinary time and overtime earnings for full-time equivalent employees.
  • Changes in seasonally adjusted data are quarterly.
  • Due to rounding, changes do not always sum to the published totals.

Source: Stats NZ, Household Labour Force Survey, Quarterly Employment Survey, and Labour Cost Survey.

/Stats NZ Public Release. This material from the originating organization/author(s) might be of the point-in-time nature, and edited for clarity, style and length. Mirage.News does not take institutional positions or sides, and all views, positions, and conclusions expressed herein are solely those of the author(s).View in full here.